15.7.2007 | 22:57
North Korea and its nukes
The UN inspectors are finally verifying North Korea's claim that it has "shut down" its Yongbyon nuclear reactor. The progress seems proceeding upwardly and the Bush administration seems gaining credits for its diplomacy on the Korean Peninsula at least whereas brutal violence still continues in Iraq today. Now, if Pyongyang really means to abandon its nukes, it will have to open up the country to the outside world and to the world economy. Real questions however still remain.1. Is Kim Jong Il really ready to open up the country to rest of the world? Opening up the society to the outside world means, ordinary people would gain substantive financial powers. In that case, Kim Jong Il's totalitarian system will be greatly undermined. Does he want to see a situation like that?2. Kim Jong Il knows that he has committed crime against humanity. Without the ultimate weapon (nukes), how would he be able to protect himself against outside pressure? Kim Jong Il wants his regime survive as it has been past decades. He cares about neither ordinary people in the country nor country's prosperity. Regime survival is the highest priority. So, how does he make sure that his notorious regime can survive? He also has to make sure that he wont be indicted by anyone for crimes against humanity.Denuclearised North Korea is very less likely. There is no reason for the regime like this to give up the ultimate weapons so easily for such few incentives like agreement made in February 2007.
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